IND vs PAK Final – Asia Cup 2025
Match Overview
The grand finale of the Asia Cup 2025 will witness arch-rivals India and Pakistan battling it out at Dubai International Stadium on September 28, 2025 (8:00 PM IST). This is not just a cricket match—it’s a heavyweight clash brimming with passion, pressure, and pride. Analysts at bring you a complete breakdown—team analysis, pitch insights, win probability, and match strategy.
Who Will Win the Match?
Historically and on current form, India start favorites with a projected 65% win probability while Pakistan stand at 35%. India’s unbeaten record in the tournament, coupled with their balanced squad and spin-friendly attack, edges them ahead. Pakistan’s challenge lies in Shaheen Afridi and Haris Rauf striking early to unsettle India’s batting depth.
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India Team Analysis
Strengths: India’s depth in both batting and bowling makes them well-rounded. Abhishek Sharma sets explosive starts, while Shubman Gill provides reliable stability. Tilak Varma and Hardik Pandya add balance in the middle order.
Bowling: Jasprit Bumrah’s pace, Kuldeep Yadav’s guile, and Varun Chakravarthy’s mystery spin give India multiple wicket-taking options. This trio is expected to be India’s cornerstone in Dubai’s conditions.
Recent Form: India come into the final undefeated (W, W, W, W, W), including two wins over Pakistan earlier in the tournament.
Pakistan Team Analysis
Strengths: Pakistan lean on their pace unit with Shaheen Afridi and Haris Rauf to apply pressure early. Fakhar Zaman and Saim Ayub are key in the batting lineup, while Mohammad Nawaz adds finishing power.
Recent Form: Mixed results (W, W, L, W, L) show inconsistency, but they remain dangerous opponents capable of upsets.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Metric | India | Pakistan |
|---|---|---|
| T20I H2H (all-time) | 12 Wins | 3 Wins |
| Asia Cup 2025 meetings | 2 Wins | 0 Wins |
| Current ICC Standing | Top-3 | Top-8 |
India hold a strong edge in both recent meetings and all-time T20 clashes.
Venue & Conditions: Dubai International Cricket Stadium
The Dubai pitch favors stroke play early with even bounce, but often slows down mid-match favoring spinners. Dew in the evening is expected, giving an advantage to teams batting second. Out of 120 matches here, chasing teams have won 65—toss will be vital.
Final Match Prediction
All indicators point towards an India win—driven by their unbeaten run, historical dominance, and squad balance. Pakistan’s hopes hinge on firing with the new ball and one of their top-order batsmen playing a decisive innings. Our projected outcome is India winning by 5–7 wickets or around 20 runs.
